Tuesday, June 25, 2019

MLB Predictions June 28-30: Rays versus Rangers highlight weekend match-ups

As we approach the end of June, the MLB season reaches the halfway point. Divisional showdowns are at the forefront this weekend, but the Rays and Rangers highlight the featured games.

Texas Rangers versus Tampa Bay Rays

Both teams enter in second place in their respective divisions. The Rangers are 6-4 over their last ten, “burning hot” and +19 on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Rays are just 4-6 in their last ten, “ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +17. If considering the “over/under”, place the bet on the “under”, as both teams are trending that way on the Totals Predictor.  Tampa Bay has been the more stable team, so take their favorite/underdog status into considering when betting. Of the six scheduled starting pitchers, only Ryan Yarbrough and Blake Snell for the Rays have been marginally profitable on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The Rangers are just 14-21 on the road, so look for the Rays to take advantage and win the weekend series, two games to one.

Atlanta Braves versus New York Mets

In this NL East battle, the first place Braves take on the fourth-place Mets. Atlanta is 6-4 over their last ten games and is “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Mets are “ice cold down” and are at a +26 to +9 disadvantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. If considering the “over/under”, bet the “over” since both teams are trending that way on the Totals Predictor. All three of the Braves scheduled starting pitchers (Mike Soroka, Julio Teheran, Max Fried) are in the green on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Also, the Braves are among the most stable teams in the league at +23 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. This looks like a series win on the road and a possible sweep of the Mets.

Pittsburgh Pirates versus Milwaukee Brewers

The Pirates enter fourth in the NL Central, while the Brewers are second, a game behind the Cubs. The Pirates are “burning hot”, having won four straight, and the Brewers are “average up”, winners of their last two. Milwaukee has a +12 to +10 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator, but are not particularly stable, so be careful basing your bet on their “favorite/underdog” status. Both teams have been involved in high scoring contests, so bet the over. Of the six scheduled starting pitchers, Chris Archer of the Pirates is the worst bet at -2488, while Zach Davis of the Brewers is the best bet at +1599. The Brewers are 24-15 at home and likely will continue that trend. The pick is for the Brewers to win two of three.

Los Angeles Dodgers versus Colorado Rockies

The top two teams in the NL West battle with the Dodgers holding a 12-game advantage in the standings. They are 7-3 over their last ten and “burning hot down”, while the Rockies are 5-5 during that period and “average”. The Dodgers have a +29 to +16 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and are among the most stable teams in the league. Clayton Kershaw is the best bet for the Dodgers this weekend at +1326, while Kenta Maeda is in the red at -1514. The Rockies best chance for a win this weekend is on Friday with Antonio Senzatela on the mound with a +461 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The Dodgers will win two of the three games to increase their lead in the division.

Oakland A’s versus Los Angeles Angels

The third and fourth place teams in the AL West battle. The A’s are 6-4 over their last ten and are “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Los Angeles has split their last ten games and is also “average” status. Oakland holds a distinct +23 to +8 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Angels are not particularly stable, so be careful betting strictly on their “favorite/underdog” status. Both teams have been involved in high scoring games of late, so betting the “over” is a wise choice. Of the scheduled starting pitchers, all of them are in the red on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Oakland is two games under .500 on the road and the Angels a game over at home. This is much of a toss-up series, but give the edge to the home team.

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