Tuesday, August 27, 2019

MLB Predictions August 30 – September 1: Phillies-Mets highlight weekend action

Entering the final month of the Major League Baseball season and each series is crucial to the playoff hopes of many teams. Several key matchups are in store for the weekend, with the Mets and Phillies NL East battle headlining the list.

New York Mets versus Philadelphia Phillies

In this NL East rivalry, the third-place Phillies host the fourth-place Mets. Both teams are battling for the second wild-card playoff spot. The Mets come in having lost their last three and 6-4 over their last ten. The Phillies are also 6-4 during that period and are “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Mets hold a +16 to +14 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator and the teams are both equally stable according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. The Totals Predictor indicates that betting “under” is the safe play for games in this series. Of the scheduled starting pitchers, Jason Vargas (+1921) and Aaron Nola (+504) are the best bets for the Phillies according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Marcuse Stroman at -1193 is the worst bets of the weekend, pitching for the Mets on Sunday. Expect the Phillies to control the Mets this weekend, taking two of three to put a little separation between them in the division.

Milwaukee Brewers versus Chicago Cubs

Both teams are fighting in the NL Central and also in the wild card race and are deadlocked at +17 on the Power Ranking Indicator. Neither team is playing well lately, 5-5 over their last ten and in the midst of losing streaks. If considering betting the “over/under” in games in this series, go with the under as both teams are trending on that side of the line. The Cubs are the more stable team at +19 to +5, indicating they are performing more consistently with their favorite/underdog status. The best pitching matchup is Zach Davies versus Cole Hamels on Saturday. Both are showing a great profit on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Yu Darvish has been the worst bet among the schedules starters, at -1750. The Cubs should have some advantage of playing at home and will likely escape with the series win.

Los Angeles Dodgers versus Arizona DIamondbacks

Despite going 5-5 over their last ten, the Dodgers maintain the best record in the league. They hold a +27 to +12 advantage over the third-place Diamondbacks on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average down” versus “ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Among the most stable teams in the league, the Dodgers very consistently performing according to their favorite/underdog status. Alex Young of the Diamondbacks has a slight edge over Dustin May in Sunday’s game according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, while Clayton Kershaw (+1382) is an extremely good bet over Robbie Ray (-1583) on Saturday. Both teams are trending under the line so betting the “under” is a good play for games in this series. The Dodgers should win at least two of three this weekend.

Boston Red Sox versus Los Angeles Angels

In this AL East versus AL West battle, the third-place Red Sox take on the fourth-place Angels. The Red Sox are 7-3 over their last ten but last their last game and are “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. They hold a +21 to +6 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator over the Angels, who are “dead” having lost their last five. Both teams are moderately stable and betting the over/under is not wise as teams are trending on opposite sides of the line. None of the scheduled starting pitchers for the Angels have been good bets, but Brian Johnson (+702) and Rick Porcello (+1358) have been very solid bets for the Red Sox. Boston has a better road record than the Angels have at home and should carry over to a series win.

Oakland A’s versus New York Yankees

The A’s sit in second place in the AL West and face the Yankees, first in the AL East. Both teams are “average” status at the moment, although the A’s are 7-3 over their last ten games. The Yankees have a +29 to +22 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and are among the most stable teams at +33 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. The Totals Predictor indicates that betting the “under” is the best play for games in this series. Of the scheduled starting pitchers, Homers Bailey is the worst bet of the weekend, at -2976 for the A’s on Saturday. Domingo German (+845) and JA Happ (+861) are solid bets for the Yankees. Mike Fiers is the best bet for the A’s, pitching Sunday with a +2176 profit. The Yankees should be able to take two of three in the series.

 

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