Tuesday, September 24, 2019

MLB Picks September 27-29: Cleveland versus Washington headline action

The last week of the MLB regular season is upon us and there are still playoff positions to be secured. An interleague match between the Cleveland Indians and Washington Nationals headling play.

 


Cleveland Indians versus Washington Nationals

Cleveland enters the series against Washington second in the AL Central and fighting for the last wild card spot. The Nationals are second in the NL East and in similar playoff position. The Indians are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +23 on the Power Ranking Indicator, while the Nationals are “ice cold down” and +15. Both teams are trending “under” on the Totals Predictor, so that is a smart bet for games in this series. Teams are very stable, coming in at +35 and +29 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. Zach Plesac, Adam Plutko, and Mike Clevinger are scheduled to pitch for the Indians, who are 2nd in team ERA at 3.64. Austin Voth, Patrick Corbin, and Max Scherzer are set to go for the Nationals, who have a 4.32 ERA. Cleveland has the better overall team and likely will come away with a series win.

Milwaukee Brewers versus Colorado Rockies

The Brewers are battling for a wild card with the Nationals in the NL and the Rockies, last in the NL West, are just playing out the string. The Brewers have a +20 to +7 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and both teams are “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Rockies are much more stable according to the Team Volatility Oscillator, meaning they perform more consistently with their favorite/underdog status. The over/under is not a wise bet in this series with teams playing in games trending on opposite sides of the line. Zach Davies, Brandon Woodruff, and Adrain Houser will pitcher for the Brewers, who are 16th in ERA at 4.43. Chi Chi Gonzalez, Antonio Senzatela and Jeff Hoffman are set to start for the Rockies, are next to last in ERA at 5.64. There is little to indicate the Rockies will put up much resistance in this series. The Brewers will win and could sweep the series.

Detroit Tigers versus Chicago White Sox

The Tigers come in with the worst record in the league and the only thing to wonder is if they can reach the 50-win mark. The White Sox are third in the division and are trying to crack the 70-win barrier. Detroit is “ice cold down” and 0 on the Power Ranking Indicator and the White Sox are “ice cold up” and +13. Not surprisingly, the Tigers are very stable at +46, losing consistently when underdogs, which is in most games. Matthew Boyd and Spencer Turnbull are two of the three scheduled starting pitchers for the Tigers, who are 27th in ERA at 5.26. Reynaldo Lopez, Hector Santiago, and Ross Detwiler will pitch to Chicago, who come in 22nd in ERA at 4.85. As bad as the Tigers are, the White Sox are far from a powerhouse, so it’s difficult to see a sweep. The Tigers will find a way to win a game and likely reach 50 wins for the season.

San Diego Padres versus Arizona Diamondbacks

In this NL West matchup, the fourth-place Padres face the second-place Diamondbacks. San Diego is “dead up” having won just two of their last ten. Arizona has a +15 to +5 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” status, going 5-5 over their last ten. Best to avoid the “over/under” in this series with teams trending on opposite sides of the line. Neither team has shown a great deal of stability, so take caution when considering the favorite/underdog status for these games. Eric Lauer, Cal Quantrill, and Garrett Richards are set to pitch for the Padres, who have a 4.61 ERA this season. Luke Weaver, Robbie Ray, and Alex Young are scheduled to pitch for the Diamondbacks, coming in with a 4.30 team ERA. Arizona can still finish above .500 and will likely come away with two of three in this series.

Oakland A’s versus Seattle Mariners

The A’s have themselves in good playoff position entering the final weekend facing the last-place Mariners. Oakland has a +29 to +8 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Having gone 8-2 over their last ten, coming off a loss the A’s are “average” status on the Team Strength Oscillator and the Mariners are also average, 6-4 over their last ten. Both teams are showing stability according to the Team Volatility Oscillator, so pay attention to the favorite/underdog status. Sean Manaea, Tanner Roark, and Homer Bailey are scheduled to pitch for the A’s, who are 7th in team ERA at 4.03. Justus Sheffield, Marco Gonzales, and Justin Dunn will be on the mound for the Mariners, who come in 24th in ERA at 5.09. The A’s have significantly more to play for and will win the series. Seattle could avoid a sweep if their minds aren’t already on the offseason.

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